FUZZY ROBUST ESTIMATES OF LOCATION AND SCALE PARAMETERS OF A FUZZY RANDOM VARIABLE

A random variable is a variable whose components are random values. To characterise a random variable, the arithmetic mean is widely used as an estimate of the location parameter, and variation as an estimate of the scale parameter. The disadvantage of the arithmetic mean is that it is sensitive to extreme values, outliers in the data. Due to that, to characterise random variables, robust estimates of the location and scale parameters are widely used: the median and median absolute deviation from the median. In real situations, the components of a random variable cannot always be estimated in a deterministic way. One way to model the initial data uncertainty is to use fuzzy estimates of the components of a random variable. Such variables are called fuzzy random variables. In this paper, we examine fuzzy robust estimates of location and scale parameters of a fuzzy random variable: fuzzy median and fuzzy median of the deviations of fuzzy component values from the fuzzy median.

A decomposition theorem for fuzzy set-valued random variables and a characterization of fuzzy random translation

Let $X$ be a fuzzy set--valued random variable (\frv{}), and \huku{X} the family of all fuzzy sets $B$ for which the Hukuhara difference X\HukuDiff B exists $\mathbb{P}$--almost surely. In this paper, we prove that $X$ can be decomposed as X(\omega)=C\Mink Y(\omega) for $\mathbb{P}$--almost every $\omega\in\Omega$, $C$ is the unique deterministic fuzzy set that minimizes $\mathbb{E}[d_2(X,B)^2]$ as $B$ is varying in \huku{X}, and $Y$ is a centered \frv{} (i.e. its generalized Steiner point is the origin). This decomposition allows us to characterize all \frv{} translation (i.e. X(\omega) = M \Mink \indicator{\xi(\omega)} for some deterministic fuzzy convex set $M$ and some random element in \Banach). In particular, $X$ is an \frv{} translation if and only if the Aumann expectation $\mathbb{E}X$ is equal to $C$ up to a translation. Examples, such as the Gaussian case, are provided.Comment: 12 pages, 1 figure. v2: minor revision. v3: minor revision; references, affiliation and acknowledgments added. Submitted versio

Fuzzy to Random Uncertainty Alignment

The objective of this paper is to present new and simple mathematical approach to deal with uncertainty alignment between fuzzy and random data. In particular we present a method to describe fuzzy (possibilistic) distribution in terms of a pair (or more) of related random (probabilistic) events, both fixed and variable. Our approach uses basic properties of both fuzzy and random distributions. We show that the data fuzziness can be viewed as a non uniqueness of related random events. We also show how fuzzy-random consistancy principle can be given precise mathemtaical meaning. Various types of fuzzy distributions are examined, special cases considered, and several numerical examples presented

"The connection between distortion risk measures and ordered weighted averaging operators"

Distortion risk measures summarize the risk of a loss distribution by means of a single value. In fuzzy systems, the Ordered Weighted Averaging (OWA) and Weighted Ordered Weighted Averaging (WOWA) operators are used to aggregate a large number of fuzzy rules into a single value. We show that these concepts can be derived from the Choquet integral, and then the mathematical relationship between distortion risk measures and the OWA and WOWA operators for discrete and nite random variables is presented. This connection oers a new interpretation of distortion risk measures and, in particular, Value-at-Risk and Tail Value-at-Risk can be understood from an aggregation operator perspective. The theoretical results are illustrated in an example and the degree of orness concept is discussed.Fuzzy systems; Degree of orness; Risk quantification; Discrete random variable JEL classification:C02,C60

H∞ fuzzy control for systems with repeated scalar nonlinearities and random packet losses

Copyright [2009] IEEE. This material is posted here with permission of the IEEE. Such permission of the IEEE does not in any way imply IEEE endorsement of any of Brunel University's products or services. Internal or personal use of this material is permitted. However, permission to reprint/republish this material for advertising or promotional purposes or for creating new collective works for resale or redistribution must be obtained from the IEEE by writing to [email protected]. By choosing to view this document, you agree to all provisions of the copyright laws protecting it.This paper is concerned with the H∞ fuzzy control problem for a class of systems with repeated scalar nonlinearities and random packet losses. A modified Takagi-Sugeno (T-S) fuzzy model is proposed in which the consequent parts are composed of a set of discrete-time state equations containing a repeated scalar nonlinearity. Such a model can describe some well-known nonlinear systems such as recurrent neural networks. The measurement transmission between the plant and controller is assumed to be imperfect and a stochastic variable satisfying the Bernoulli random binary distribution is utilized to represent the phenomenon of random packet losses. Attention is focused on the analysis and design of H∞ fuzzy controllers with the same repeated scalar nonlinearities such that the closed-loop T-S fuzzy control system is stochastically stable and preserves a guaranteed H∞ performance. Sufficient conditions are obtained for the existence of admissible controllers, and the cone complementarity linearization procedure is employed to cast the controller design problem into a sequential minimization one subject to linear matrix inequalities, which can be readily solved by using standard numerical software. Two examples are given to illustrate the effectiveness of the proposed design method

Perceptionization of FM/FD/1 queuing model under various fuzzy numbers

We present a FM/FD/1 queuing model with unbounded limit under different fuzzy numbers. The arrival (landing) rate and service (administration) rate are thought to be fuzzy numbers such as triangular, trapezoidal and pentagonal fuzzy numbers. Because random event can only be observed in an uncertain manner, the fuzzy result of an uncertainty mapping is a fuzzy random variable. Consequently, it is conceivable to characterize the specific connection between randomness and fuzziness. The execution proportions of this lining miniature are fuzzified after that examined by utilizing α-cut estimations and DSW algorithm (Dong, Shah and Wong). Relating to different fuzzy numbers, the numerical precedents are delineated to test the attainability of this model (miniature). A comparative illustration corresponding to each fuzzy number is accomplished for various estimations of α

A linear regression model for imprecise response

A linear regression model with imprecise response and p real explanatory variables is analyzed. The imprecision of the response variable is functionally described by means of certain kinds of fuzzy sets, the LR fuzzy sets. The LR fuzzy random variables are introduced to model usual random experiments when the characteristic observed on each result can be described with fuzzy numbers of a particular class, determined by 3 random values: the center, the left spread and the right spread. In fact, these constitute a natural generalization of the interval data. To deal with the estimation problem the space of the LR fuzzy numbers is proved to be isometric to a closed and convex cone of R3 with respect to a generalization of the most used metric for LR fuzzy numbers. The expression of the estimators in terms of moments is established, their limit distribution and asymptotic properties are analyzed and applied to the determination of confidence regions and hypothesis testing procedures. The results are illustrated by means of some case-studies. © 2010 Elsevier Inc. All rights reserved

Modeling random and non-random decision uncertainty in ratings data: A fuzzy beta model

Modeling human ratings data subject to raters' decision uncertainty is an attractive problem in applied statistics. In view of the complex interplay between emotion and decision making in rating processes, final raters' choices seldom reflect the true underlying raters' responses. Rather, they are imprecisely observed in the sense that they are subject to a non-random component of uncertainty, namely the decision uncertainty. The purpose of this article is to illustrate a statistical approach to analyse ratings data which integrates both random and non-random components of the rating process. In particular, beta fuzzy numbers are used to model raters' non-random decision uncertainty and a variable dispersion beta linear model is instead adopted to model the random counterpart of rating responses. The main idea is to quantify characteristics of latent and non-fuzzy rating responses by means of random observations subject to fuzziness. To do so, a fuzzy version of the Expectation-Maximization algorithm is adopted to both estimate model's parameters and compute their standard errors. Finally, the characteristics of the proposed fuzzy beta model are investigated by means of a simulation study as well as two case studies from behavioral and social contexts.Comment: 24 pages, 0 figures, 5 table